Epidemiological Modeling and Simulation

This website shares the results of the CV19GM project aimed at determining the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the population and the health system, both in Chile and in the United States (USA).

Our Mission

We are focused on the understanding of the current situation of the pandemic and its projected impact, both in the population and in the health system, through a georeferenced model to study the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.


Our project

We developed a new approach to model the spread of COVID-19 using an extended SEIR model with a mobility matrix, hospitalization dynamics, and vaccination and tracing strategies. Our models successfully predicted the pandemic trajectory in Chile and are now being used with data from USA. We also analyzed vaccination data in chilean schools and studied how communication affects the spread of infectious diseases. Our work has been published in four scientific publications and disseminated through media and direct contact with Chilean health authorities. Check out our EPIc suite web platform to model the spread of infectious diseases, we our models are implemented.


Funding

AFOSR grant number FA9550-20-1-0196

Fundación Ciencia & Vida CCTE FB210008

Acknowledgements

Centro Interdisciplinario de Neurociencia de Valparaíso

Universidad San Sebastián

© 2023 Computational Biology Lab (DLAB) Fundación Ciencia & Vida | Chile
Del Valle Norte 725, Huechuraba, Santiago Chile 8580702